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Trading plan for 19/04/2017:
The US debt yields have reached the lowest level since the start of Trump's presidency. It can not be surprising that the US Dollar is still weak, although today it rebounded slightly against the other G-10 currencies. EUR/USD at 1.0720 supports investors' peace of mind about the outcome of the French presidential election. USD/JPY remains below 109.00. The weakest of the main currencies is again the Australian Dollar. On Wall Street a modest discount, but there is over 1% decrease on Shanghai Composite. Prices of WTI oil barrel are sliding towards $52 and Gold ounce is priced at $1,285.
On Wednesday 19th of April, the event calendar is very light in important economic data. Nevertheless, global investors will keep an eye on Consumer Price Index and Trade Balance data from the Eurozone and Crude Oil Inventories and Beige Book data from the US.
EUR/USD analysis for 19/04/2017:
The inflation and Trade Balance data are scheduled for release at 09:00 am GMT and market participants do not expect any major changes in inflationary pressures. The CPI index is likely to remain unchanged at the level of 1.5% on yearly basis and the Trade Balance data are expected to expand from 15.7bln to 18.6bln.
Let's now take a look at the EUR/USD technical picture on the H4 timeframe. The bulls have managed to breakout above the important resistance at the level of 1.0705 but were capped at the 50%Fibonacci retracement at the level of 1.0737. If this level is violated, then the next resistance will be seen at the level of 61%Fibo at 1.0776. Market conditions are neutral and there is no sign of any bearish divergence. Momentum indicators point to more gains.
Market snapshot: GBP/USD skyrockets higher after Theresa May announced a snap election in June
The GBP/USD pair and the related crosses rallied all day yesterday after Prime Minister Theresa May announced a snap election in June 2017. The high was made at the level of 1.2905 and currently, the market is consolidating the gains. The critical resistance zone was obviously broken and now will act as an important technical support for the price. The next target for bulls is the psychological round number of 1.3. The next support is seen at the level of 1.2772.
Market snapshot: AUD/USD is searching for the bottom
After the Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate decision and Meeting Minutes release, this pair is still in a sell-off mode. The breakout from the golden channel turned out to be false and now the price is trading around the technical support at the level of 0.7514. The momentum indicator remains negative and there is no sign of any bullish divergence yet. More downside is expected on this market.
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