24.10.201914:36 Forex Analysis & Reviews: The FED cannot afford to cut rates – the impact on GBPUSD

Essas informações são fornecidas a clientes profissionais e de varejo como parte da comunicação de marketing. Elas não contêm e não devem ser interpretadas como consultoria, recomendação de investimento ou uma oferta ou solicitação para se envolver em qualquer transação ou estratégia em instrumentos financeiros. O desempenho passado não é uma garantia ou previsão de desempenho futuro. A Instant Trading EU Ltd. não se responsabiliza pela exatidão ou integridade das informações fornecidas, ou por qualquer perda decorrente de qualquer investimento com base em análises, previsões ou outras informações fornecidas por um funcionário da Empresa, ou de outra forma. O termo de responsabilidade completo está disponível aqui.

Fundamental analysis:

The Federal Reserve will meet on the 30th October with the US GDP anounced earlier that day.

Who in their right mind would reduce rates with markets at near all-time highs and the US earnings season doing well; jobs market getting tighter by the week.

UK Parliament will probably sign off on the deal Mr Johnson has agreed with the European Union and this should get through next week, so any rally on that news could be an opportunity to go short ahead of the 30th October Fed decision.

Trade idea

I am suggesting the GBPUSD pair is done for now, we have seen a sell signal 2 days ago, and both the wave count and Fibonacci resistance look compelling to me. Note I do not show indicators, Fibonacci is the "CODE of TRADING" to me it is far superior to indicators.

However, there was clear MACD divergence at September lows but the retracement is now complete and it is time to get short again.

Levels to watch:

Today: I am looking to sell 1.2950, stop above today's high, target 1.2785.

This week, sell any rally into 1.2970

Next week: if we see any move into 1.3050 I will short

Voltar a lista

Open trading account

InstaForex analytical reviews will make you fully aware of market trends! Being an InstaForex client, you are provided with a large number of free services for efficient trading.