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08.02.202312:08 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Fed's recent actions could open up opportunities for investors

Essas informações são fornecidas a clientes profissionais e de varejo como parte da comunicação de marketing. Elas não contêm e não devem ser interpretadas como consultoria, recomendação de investimento ou uma oferta ou solicitação para se envolver em qualquer transação ou estratégia em instrumentos financeiros. O desempenho passado não é uma garantia ou previsão de desempenho futuro. A Instant Trading EU Ltd. não se responsabiliza pela exatidão ou integridade das informações fornecidas, ou por qualquer perda decorrente de qualquer investimento com base em análises, previsões ou outras informações fornecidas por um funcionário da Empresa, ou de outra forma. O termo de responsabilidade completo está disponível aqui.

Exchange Rates 08.02.2023 analysis

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said that much of the inflation is pandemic-related. However, this is not true as the reason why inflation reached a 40-year high is that the Fed made a mistake when they allowed the figure to rise to 8% before they took action.

Back then, the central bank said inflation was temporary and would naturally slow down, but it hit 9.1% instead. Had they acted when inflation was 1.7% in March 2020 or 2.6% in May 2020, inflation could have been effectively controlled with a series of small rate hikes, bringing the Fed's base rate to 2.5%, which would have equaled the inflation rate at that time.

Exchange Rates 08.02.2023 analysis

Historically, every spike in inflation has caused the Fed to respond in the same way, that is, to raise rates just below or above the current rate of inflation. Although the problems faced by the Fed were unforeseen, the situation now is the first one as they did not follow the path of former officials who smoothed and reduced high inflation promptly.

Accordingly, the Fed is in a crisis, forcing it to take an aggressive approach to monetary policy. On the bright side, these actions could open up opportunities for investors in gold and precious metals.

Irina Yanina
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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