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29.01.201606:08 Forex Analysis & Reviews: USD/CAD intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for January 29, 2016

Long-term review
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Exchange Rates 29.01.2016 analysis
Exchange Rates 29.01.2016 analysis

A bullish breakout above the previous consolidation zone between 1.2400 and 1.2800 was performed on July 15 (shown on the weekly chart).

A significant bearish rejection was observed around 1.3450. Hence, another consolidation range was established between 1.3450 down to 1.2800.

On December 7, a bullish breakout above 1.3450 (the upper limit of the recent consolidation range) enhanced the bullish side of the market. Hence, a bullish visit towards the resistance level of 1.4150 (Fibonacci Expansion 100%) was executed.

Bullish persistence above 1.4150 enhanced the bullish side of the market towards 1.4600 (141.4% Fibonacci expansion) where evident bearish rejection was expected (a bearish engulfing weekly candlestick).

The level of 1.4100 (Fibonacci Expansion 100%) remains a significant key level to be watched for price reaction during the current week's consolidations. It may offer a valid sell entry if any bullish pullback occurs soon.

On the other hand, the price zone of 1.3370-1.3400 remains a significant support zone to be watched for valid buy entries if the current bearish momentum persists below the mentioned key level (1.4100) and 1.4000 (a prominent Weekly Support).

Trading recommendations:

As we expected, a valid sell entry was offered around 1.4650 (141.4% Fibonacci expansion). It is already running in profits.

S/L should now be lowered to 1.4200 to secure our profits, while the next T/P level remains projected at 1.3800 if USD/CAD bears maintain enough bearish momentum below 1.4100 and 1.4000.

On the other hand, conservative traders should wait for a bearish pullback towards the price zone of 1.3370-1.3400 where a valid buy entry can be offered.

Mohamed Samy
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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