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14.05.201918:39 Forex Analysis & Reviews: May 14, 2019 : GBP/USD approaching the backside of the broken daily channel, shall it hold ?

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Exchange Rates 14.05.2019 analysis

On March 29, the price levels of 1.2980 (the lower limit of the newly-established bearish movement channel) demonstrated significant bullish rejection.

This brought the GBPUSD pair again towards the price zone of (1.3160-1.3180) where the upper limit of the depicted bearish channel as well as the backside of the depicted broken uptrend line demonstrated significant bearish rejection.

Since then, Short-term outlook has turned into bearish with intermediate-term bearish targets projected towards 1.2900 and 1.2850.

On April 26, a bullish pullback was executed towards the price levels around 1.3035 - 1.3070 (50% - 61.8% Fibonacci levels) where temporary bearish rejection was demonstrated.

Shortly after, a bullish breakout above 1.3075 was temporarily being demonstrated until bearish breakdown below 1.3035 (50% Fibonacci level) was achieved last week.

Hence, a bearish Head and Shoulders pattern was being demonstrated on the H4 chart with neckline located around 1.2985.

As anticipated, The price zone of 1.3030-1.3060 turned to become a prominent supply-zone where a valid bearish entry was offered by the end of last week's consolidations.

Bearish persistence below 1.2985 (Neckline of the reversal pattern) enhanced further bearish decline.

Initial bearish Target was almost reached around 1.2905 (the backside of the broken channel) where another short-term bullish pullback is expected to be initiated towards 1.2985 before further bearish decline can occur.

Trade Recommendations:

For those who had a valid SELL entry around the price levels of (1.3035-1.3070). It's already running in profits. S/L should be lowered to 1.2970 to secure some profits.

Risky traders can look for short-term bullish positions anywhere around 1.2905 with T/P level around 1.2985. S/L to be located below 1.2880.

Mohamed Samy
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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