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15.03.201112:10 Forex Analysis & Reviews: The USD/JPY technical analysis and trading recommendations for March 15, 2011

Long-term review
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4-hour timeframe

Exchange Rates 15.03.2011 analysis

Overview:
The yen is still demonstrating an uncertain movement; Friday’s price downfall confused the whole current situation. A new sell signal without a target level was formed. The formed signal is strong and confirmed, since the Chinkou Span fixated below the price graph and the price is below the Ichimoku cloud. The first target for the downside movement is 81.22 – the first support level. If this level is passed the second target will be the second support level at 80.62. Downside movement remains while the price is below the Kijun-sen (81.95), if the price fixates above this line it is recommended to cut short positions. The Chinkou Span is below the price graph, which confirms the current sell signal and indicates bearish sentiment. The Bollinger bands show downside movement, the lines are diverging and directed down. The MACD is descending, thus indicating current downside movement, if it reverses up it will denote the beginning of correction movement.
 

Trading recommendations:
Currently it is recommended to trade down with target at 81.22 and further to 80.62. Stop Loss should be placed above 81.95. If the MACD reverses up it is recommended to cut short positions manually.
In addition to technical image, one should take into account the fundamental data and the time of their release.

 


The chart annotation:
Ichimoku indicator:
Tenkan-sen — red line
Kijun-Sen — blue line
Senkou Span A — light brown stipple line
Senkou Span B — light purple stipple line
Chinkou Span — green line
Bollinger Bands indicator:
3 yellow lines
MACD indicator:
The red line and the histogram with white bars in the indicators window. 
 

 

Paolo Greco
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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