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28.02.202216:30 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Bitcoin whales are actively accumulating bitcoin, retail investors are aggressively buying back the fall amid geopolitical risks

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Network analytics companies report that cohorts of bitcoin wallets began accumulating BTC after Russia invaded Ukraine. Whales' bitcoin transactions have reached the highest level as the accumulation of coins continues.

Against this background, analysts are looking for possible signs of a breakthrough in the price trend of the main cryptocurrency.

The growth of transactions by BTC-whales

According to Glassnode, 76.5% of bitcoins have not been moved from their main storage over the past six months. The number of unspent digital coins held by large market participants who bought the asset ten years ago has increased since 2020.

The number of bitcoin transactions for $ 100,000 to $ 1 million has peaked, indicating a surge in accumulation and a reduction in the circulating supply of the asset.

The accumulation of bitcoins is recorded by the BTC HODL-waves graph from Glassnode. It shows the active offer bar by age of the repositories. The indicator is considered important for predicting the next movement of Bitcoin.

Bitcoin: is it possible to prepare for a rally?

Historically, the accumulation of the main cryptocurrency by whales indicates an upcoming price rally. The assessment of the trend accumulation of a cohort of wallets from Glassnode is used to determine the change in the BTCUSD trend.

It is noted that large purchases of the main cryptocurrency by whales at the end of January 2021 pushed the asset price up by 15%. A similar event may occur if the whales stick to their "buy fall" strategy.

Currently, the indicator shows a fairly wide accumulation from September 2021 to February 2022.

Small investors are also buying out the fall

The aggressive purchase of BTCUSD by small investors began to fuel the upward trend. Analysts note that the accumulation of bitcoin whales combined with aggressive purchases by small investors can provoke a price increase in the main cryptocurrency. It is known that in the past retail investors have imitated the buying behavior of whales.

Buying and accumulating whales can help bitcoin bulls keep the asset price above $ 40,000 if the dynamics from January and February 2022 remain unchanged.

The market notes that bearish concerns about the price of bitcoin are still prevailing, while geopolitical tensions are only increasing.

When is the transition to an upward trend possible? For my part, I consider the consolidation of the main cryptocurrency above the value of $ 40,000 per coin to be such a signal.

Exchange Rates 28.02.2022 analysis

Ekaterina Kiseleva
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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