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There are quite a few macroeconomic events scheduled for Thursday. In the Eurozone, GDP and industrial production reports will be released, while in the U.S., the Producer Price Index and jobless claims data are expected. However, none of these reports stand out as particularly significant. The GDP report for the Eurozone will be the second estimate, which is objectively the least important among all GDP releases. All other reports may trigger slight market reactions, but likely no more.
Key fundamental events on Thursday include speeches by Jerome Powell and Andrew Bailey. However, the question arises: what new information could they share with the market? The Federal Reserve and Bank of England meetings took place last week, so it's unlikely that their views or stances have changed in such a short time. Of course, these events should not be ignored, especially as Powell might comment on the U.S. inflation report. However, we do not believe that Powell or Bailey can halt the rise of the U.S. dollar. The Fed is now much closer to pausing in December, which may only fuel further growth in the dollar's value.
On the fourth trading day of the week, both currency pairs may continue to decline, as the market is currently focused solely on buying the dollar. Powell or Bailey could influence market sentiment, but we believe they will only further support the market's ongoing dollar purchases. All the day's reports are likely to provoke only minor market reactions.
Support and Resistance Levels: Levels that serve as targets for opening buys or sells. Take Profit levels can be placed around these areas.
Red Lines: Channels or trend lines that indicate the current trend and the preferred trading direction.
MACD Indicator (14,22,3): Histogram and signal line—an auxiliary indicator that can also be used as a source of signals.
Major speeches and reports (always found in the news calendar) can significantly impact currency pair movements. Therefore, it's advised to trade cautiously or exit the market during their release to avoid sharp price reversals against prior movements.
Beginners trading on the forex market should remember that not every trade will be profitable. A clear strategy and money management are the keys to success in long-term trading.
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