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Podmienky obchodovania
Nástroje
The test of the 1.2771 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had already risen significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I refrained from buying the pound. A similar situation occurred after the pound fell to 1.2755, so I also avoided opening short positions.
In the second half of the day, traders will closely monitor U.S. labor market data and inflation figures, as these could significantly influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. If initial jobless claims fall below expectations, it could indicate further strengthening of the labor market. In such a case, expectations of maintaining interest rates unchanged may increase, boosting demand for the U.S. dollar.
On the other hand, the Producer Price Index (PPI), excluding food and energy, is a more important indicator of inflation trends. An increase in this index could signal rising price pressures in the production sector, which may also influence the Fed's decision-making on interest rate adjustments. Traders will analyze each data point to better evaluate the future direction of monetary policy. If the data exceeds forecasts, it could strengthen the dollar, putting additional pressure on the GBP/USD pair.
Pokiaľ ide o intradenné obchodovanie, plánujem postupovať na základe scenárov č. 1 a č. 2.
Scenario #1:Buy the pound today at around 1.2759 (green line on the chart) with a target of 1.2815 (thicker green line on the chart). At 1.2815, I plan to exit the market and open short positions in the opposite direction, targeting a correction of 30-35 points. Pound appreciation today is only likely after weaker inflation data from the U.S.Important: Before buying, ensure that the MACD is above the zero mark and just beginning to rise.
Scenario #2:I also plan to buy the pound if there are two consecutive tests of 1.2731, with the MACD in the oversold area. This will limit the pair's downward potential and lead to a market reversal upward. Expect growth to the opposite levels of 1.2759 and 1.2815.
Predajný signál
Scenario #1:Sell the pound after breaking below 1.2731 (red line on the chart), which will lead to a sharp decline in the pair. The key target for sellers will be 1.2686, where I plan to exit short positions and open long positions in the opposite direction (targeting a 20-25 point upward correction). Sellers will only show significant activity in case of strong U.S. inflation data.Important: Before selling, ensure that the MACD is below the zero mark and just beginning to decline.
Scenario #2:I also plan to sell the pound if there are two consecutive tests of 1.2759, with the MACD in the overbought area. This will limit the pair's upward potential and lead to a market reversal downward. Expect a decline to the opposite levels of 1.2731 and 1.2686.
Začínajúci forexoví obchodníci by mali robiť rozhodnutia o vstupe na trh veľmi opatrne. Aby sa predišlo prudkým cenovým výkyvom, je najlepšie nevstupovať na trh pred zverejnením dôležitých fundamentálnych správ. Ak sa rozhodnete obchodovať počas zverejňovania správ, vždy nastavte príkazy stop, aby ste minimalizovali straty. Bez príkazov stop môžete rýchlo prísť o celý svoj vklad, najmä ak nevyužívate money management a obchodujete veľké objemy.
Nezabúdajte, že na úspešné obchodovanie potrebujete jasný obchodný plán, ako je napríklad ten, ktorý je uvedený vyššie. Prijímanie spontánnych obchodných rozhodnutí na základe aktuálnej situácie na trhu je pre intradenného obchodníka vo svojej podstate stratová stratégia.
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