23.12.202405:13 Forex Analysis & Reviews: USD/JPY Forecast for December 23, 2024

The yen has surpassed the November 15 peak, reaching the target range of 157.72–158.32. Against the dollar's overall strengthening, the USD/JPY pair may retest the resistance range. However, weakness in the stock market supports a potential reversal and suggests the yen will await further developments within the broad, familiar range of 153.60–155.90.

This scenario may unfold if the price consolidates below the key level of 155.90. Slightly below this level lies the indicator balance line, and breaking below it could thoroughly neutralize any intention of the price to challenge previously achieved highs. There is a 60% probability that the price will attempt to breach 155.90 and the balance line.

The price remains above both indicator lines on the four-hour chart, and the Marlin oscillator is in the growth zone. However, the balance line is approaching the price and the 155.90 level. The longer the price remains stationary, the easier it will be to overcome the balance line and the rising MACD line below it. If the price remains static, Marlin—declining ahead of the market—will soon enter negative territory, aligning with the price's attempt to break through technical support.