16.09.201511:20 Forex Analysis & Reviews: USDX technical analysis for September 16, 2015

Long-term review

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The US Dollar Index has bounced as expected from the 38% Fibonacci retracement. It is heading towards the green trend-line resistance at the level of 96.10 where we also find the Ichimoku cloud resistance. So, bulls are still not in control of the larger trend as we remain trapped below important resistance levels.

Green line - resistance

The US Dollar Index is heading towards the Ichimoku cloud resistance at 96. This will be an important test for the index and combined with the Fed rate decision tomorrow it is preferred to stay neutral and wait for the dust to settle after tomorrow's announcement. All scenarios are open. Rejection and new pull back towards 94 or breakout above 96 and a push towards at least 98.

Red line - resistance

Green line - support

The weekly chart remains below the weekly kijun-sen indicator and below the red trend line resistance. Bulls need to break above the red trend-line resistance for this bullish flag to confirm the upside potential. Weekly support is found at 94 by the Ichimoku cloud and in the area of the previous lows around 92. We are trapped inside a trading range, so it is better to stay neutral until the Fed's rate decision.

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