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19.04.201615:03 Forex Analysis & Reviews: USD/CAD intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for April 19, 2016

Long-term review
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Exchange Rates 19.04.2016 analysis
Exchange Rates 19.04.2016 analysis

A bullish breakout above the previous consolidation zone between 1.2400 and 1.2800 was performed on July 15 (shown on the weekly chart).

A significant bearish rejection was observed around 1.3450. Hence, another consolidation range was established from 1.3450 down to 1.2800.

On December 7, a bullish breakout above 1.3450 (upper limit of the recent consolidation range) enhanced the bullish side of the market. Hence, a bullish visit to the resistance at 1.4120 (Fibonacci Expansion 100%) occurred.

Bullish persistence above 1.4150 enhanced the bullish side of the market towards 1.4650 (141.4% Fibonacci expansion) where an evident bearish rejection was expected (bearish engulfing weekly candlestick).

The 1.4120 level (Fibonacci Expansion 100%) stood as a significant resistance level where significant bearish rejection was applied.

Although the area of 1.3050-1.3250 was expected to offer bullish support for the USD/CAD pair, a bearish breakdown of the same price zone was executed as depicted on the daily chart.

The price level of 1.3300 constituted a significant resistance as it corresponds to the 50% Fibonacci level and the backside of the broken weekly uptrend where a valid sell entry was suggested on March 24.

Since March 18, the USD/CAD pair has been trapped within the consolidation range between 1.3300 - 1.2970 until the recent bearish breakdown on April 11.

Traders who missed the initial entry around 1.3300 should consider the recent pullback towards 1.2975 (61.8% Fibonacci level) as a valid signal to sell the USD/CAD pair. T/P levels should be located at 1.2700 and 1.2550.

Mohamed Samy
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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