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16.08.201616:08 Forex Analysis & Reviews: NZD/USD Intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for August 16 , 2016

Long-term review
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Exchange Rates 16.08.2016 analysis

Bullish persistence above 0.6550 (the depicted support) was necessary to keep the price moving towards higher bullish targets.

In February and March, signs of bearish rejection (triple-top reversal pattern) were expressed around the price level of 0.6750 until April when a bullish breakout above 0.6750 and 0.6860 was executed.

Later on May 6, daily candlestick closure below the 0.6850 level enhanced a quick bearish movement towards 0.6750 where bullish rejection was expected to be applied. However, obvious bearish closure below 0.6750 was achieved on May 24.

On May 30, obvious bullish rejection was expressed around the price level of 0.6675 (the lower limit of the depicted channel). That's why, the recent bullish breakout is taking place above 0.6860.

As long as the NZD/USD pair kept trading above 0.6860, further bullish advance was expected towards the price zone around 0.7200 (upper limit of the depicted channel).

As anticipated, the price zone of 0.7150 - 0.7200 (upper limit of the depicted channel) offered a profitable SELL trade. T/P levels should be located at 0.6970, 0.6900, and 0.6850. S/L should be placed at 0.7250.

Note the Head and shoulders reversal pattern on the daily chart.

Confirmation requires DAILY candlestick closure below 0.6970 (Neckline). Projection targets extend down to 0.6760 and 0.6690 levels.

On the other hand, the price zone between 0.6760-0.6700 constitutes a support zone to be watched for a possible BUY entry if the current bearish swing extends below 0.7000.

Mohamed Samy
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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