22.11.201809:21 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Trading plan for 22/11/2018

Análisis a largo plazo

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USD is slightly weaker to most major currencies except AUD and NZD. Investors' activity is lower than in previous days, which is understandable with the riddled holidays of trade. In addition, large fluctuations from previous days (mainly from Tuesday) suggest that investors have already prepared for the long weekend.

EUR / USD anchored around 1.14. In the morning we received positive news from Italy, where Deputy Prime Minister Di Maio sees possible amendments to the budget, although he is opposed to spending cuts for planned reforms. Yesterday, the European Commission rejected the project of next year's budget as not meeting the requirements of debt control.

USD / JPY stabilized at 113 with calm trading on the stock market. Slight increases on Wall Street on Wednesday, after which a good session in Tokyo came in (Nikkei225 + 0.65%) slowed down the yen demand. However, elsewhere the stock market is more uncertain - the Chinese Shanghai Composite loses 0.1%.

On Thursday, the 22nd of November, the event calendar is light in important data releases. The event of the day is ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts just after the 12:30 pm GMT.

EUR/USD analysis for 22/11/2018:

MNI agency published an article, which quotes an anonymous Fed representative, according to which the Fed began to consider at least a pause in the cycle of interest rate increases, and may even end the cycle as early as next spring. Although the December decision on the increase is almost certain, the debate on the pace of tightening will revive at the beginning of next year around decisions in March and June.

Let's now take a look at the EUR/USD technical picture at the H4 time frame. The market tried to move towards the level of 1.1456, but the so far is moving sideways in a range between the levels of 1.1359 - 1.1424. The price is still above the golden trend line, but is getting closer to it and might test it soon. The key technical support zone is seen between the levels of 1.1359 - 1.1335. Below this zone, the next support is seen at the level of 1.1301.

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