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Analysis of wave counting:
Friday's trading started with the upward movement, however, the USD/CHF pair, could not gain a foothold above 0.9975 and before the end of trading rolled back more than 50 percentage points from the high reached in the middle of the day. At the same time, it can be assumed that, while remaining in the stage of formation of the wave c, in a, in C, the currency pair completed its internal 3rd wave and already designated the 4th wave. If this is the case, then the attempt to test the level of the 99th figure can lead to the resumption of the growth of quotations in the direction of targets for this wave c, in a, in C, located above the level of price parity. At the same time, the probability of continuation of the beginning of the downward movement to the level of 0.9655 and the significant complication of the internal wave structure of wave b, in a, in C, continues to remain relevant.
Targets for an upward wave option:
1.0004 - 127.2% by Fibonacci
1.0050 - 161.8% by Fibonacci
Targets for a downlink wave option:
0.9728 - 50.0% by Fibonacci
General conclusions and trading recommendations:
The currency pair continues to build an upward set of waves. The assumed wave b, in a, in C has completed its construction near the mark of 0.9728, which corresponds to 50.0% of Fibonacci. If this is the case, an extended increase in quotations is now expected with targets near the estimated levels of 1.0004 and 1.0050, which corresponds to 127.2% and 161.8% of Fibonacci retracement (these targets will be reviewed).
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