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As we explained in our previous posts, USDJPY broke above key resistance and was expected to push above 111.25 as it did. However the new higher high was not followed by a higher RSI price. This bearish divergence was a warning and now price is showing signs of trend reversal.
Red line- bearish divergenceBlue line - support
Technically trend remains bullish as long as price is above the blue trend line support and above the latest low around 110.50. The bearish divergence is only an early warning signal. Price is pulling back after making a new high at 111.67. If price moves below the 110.50 level then we will most probably have a reversal confirmation. The lower high by the RSI implies weakening up trend. Traders need to be cautious and not overoptimistic.
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