11.09.202314:24 Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD dynamics scenarios on September 11, 2023

EUR/USD saw a sharp rise during the Asian trading session against the backdrop of a weakening dollar.

Starting the trading day with an upward gap, the pair reached an intraday high of 1.0740 during the Asian trading session, which is 40 pips higher than the closing price on Friday. However, many economists believe that today's strengthening of the euro may not be enough to reverse the negative dynamics of EUR/USD.

After breaking key support levels in early September, such as 1.0800 (200-day EMA on the daily chart) and 1.0785 (50-day EMA on the weekly chart), EUR/USD returned to the zone of medium-term and long-term bearish markets, making short positions preferable.

A break below local supports at 1.0700 and 1.0690 will confirm the strengthening of the downward trend.

In an alternative scenario, after breaking resistance levels at 1.0785 and 1.0800, EUR/USD will return to the zone of the medium-term bullish market and continue to rise within the upward channel on the weekly chart, with intermediate targets at important long-term resistance levels of 1.1050 (200 EMA on the weekly chart) and 1.1090 (50 EMA on the monthly chart).

Their breakout, in turn, will confirm the resumption of the long-term upward trend, with nearest targets near resistance levels of 1.1275 (local resistance level), 1.1300 (the upper line of the upward channel on the weekly chart), and ultimately near the resistance level of 1.1600 (200 EMA on the monthly chart).

A rise above the 1.1600 mark will signal a return of EUR/USD to the global bullish market.

Support levels: 1.0700, 1.0690, 1.0650, 1.0600, 1.0530, 1.0500

Resistance levels: 1.0760, 1.0785, 1.0800, 1.0840, 1.0862, 1.0875, 1.0900, 1.0950, 1.1000, 1.1050, 1.1090, 1.1200, 1.1275, 1.1300, 1.1400, 1.1500, 1.1600